I am using the ADP and draft rankings from NFL.Com to compile this list of players that I believe are absolute steals at their positions. These are players that I think will outperform their respective rankings and ADP from NFL.Com.
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Miami
Tannehill has an ADP of 63 and is ranked as the #8 quarterback in fantasy this year. I really think he will be a top five QB this year. He has a lot of weapons to get the ball to, the offensive line is improved from last year, and the running game may be even better than last year. He is also more of a runner than people realize. Tannehill was very quietly the ninth highest scoring quarterback last year. He has no excuses to not perform at a top five level this year. I will jump all over him in the sixth round of a ten team league’s draft.
Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville
Last year, Allen Robinson was a second round pick by the Jaguars to help Blake Bortles with his transition into the league. Robinson has an ADP of 138 in the NFL.Com leagues and ranked as the #48 wide receiver. Robinson should be going way before the thirteenth round in a standard ten team. He is better in a PPR because of the limited scoring opportunities he’ll have in that Jaguars offense, but he should still be going much earlier. He was peppered with targets from a young Bortles and he should be healthy this year after missing some time last year. In 10 games last year he was targeted 81 times and hauled in 48 for 548 yards and only two touchdowns. I expect him to be a top 20 receiver in PPR formats this year.
Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia
Matthews has been promoted to the top target in a high powered offense that has produced a top WR in the last few years with Kelly as head coach. The offense makes anyone starting, an automatic lock to produce fantasy points. Matthews is a very talented receiver. Last year he was the second option in the passing game and still had 105 targets that turned into 67 catches, 872 yards, and 8 touchdowns. This year, he should be in the top 10 at WR in all formats. There is no reason he won’t produce at least at the level of Jeremy Maclin last year. With an ADP of 43 and a position rank of 16, he may be the biggest steal of the year.
Chris Ivory, RB, New York Jets
Chris Ivory is the top runningback on a team that will have to run the ball to stay in games. It’s very hard to find runningbacks after round three, so it doesn’t make any sense that Ivory has an ADP of 94. It will be very easy for Ivory to outperform the 22 runningbacks ranked ahead of him. He finished as the 19th highest scoring RB last year in standard, but the passing game should be slightly improved this year and Chan Gailey should make the offense more potent as a whole. Ivory is a very consistent player that probably won’t get many 20 point games, but also won’t have many two pint games either. I expect Ivory to be in the top 15 at least.
Shane Vereen, RB, New York Giants
Vereen is more of a PPR sleeper than a standard sleeper, but he could produce well in both. Vereen is coming into a quick passing offense to be the passing downs back. He should get plenty of carries as well with Rashad Jennings’ injury history. There is talk of Vereen impressing in New York and possibly getting more touches than expected. Vereen has an ADP of 142 and is the 48th ranked RB. I would be shocked if Vereen isn’t in the top 25 in PPR leagues. He should be on everyone’s flier list in the later rounds.
All of these players should be targeted in drafts because they have potential to outperform ADP and expectations. Next week I will have a top bust list out that will predict which players will underperform their ADPs.
By: Matthew Acord